Five Key insights from the 2023-24 season

The Ottawa Senators’ 2023-24 season was undeniably… eventful. It’s hard to label it as memorable, except perhaps for all the wrong reasons. Here are my top five observations as we head into the playoffs and the offseason:

Addressing the Goaltending Predicament Will Pose Challenges:

Often, we dissect a team’s performance, throwing around terms like “leadership” and “compete,” but sometimes it boils down to one crucial factor: goaltending.

Despite finishing 11th in overall expected goals for percentage (xGF%), the Senators ranked second to last in save percentage (.8845%), a statistic that significantly impacted their performance. With the potential for substantial improvement with just average goaltending, addressing this issue is paramount. However, navigating the contracts of current goalies like Joonas Korpisalo and Anton Forsberg presents a significant hurdle. Finding suitable replacements amidst a thin market adds to the complexity.

The Right Coach Can Lead the Team to Success:

Reflecting on the season, it’s evident that the Senators could have achieved differently under different coaching. The transition from DJ Smith to Jacques Martin saw some positive glimpses, indicating the team’s potential under the right guidance. A fresh start with a new coach from the onset of training camp offers optimism for improved results. Despite challenges, solid performance metrics suggest that with effective coaching, the team can flourish.

Lack of Secondary Scoring Is a Concern:

The absence of consistent secondary scoring has been glaring, especially after roster changes. The departure of players like Alex DeBrincat and the subsequent acquisitions failed to adequately fill the void. With uncertainties surrounding players like Josh Norris and Ridley Greig, bolstering offensive depth becomes imperative. While promising performances from players like Shane Pinto offer hope, reinforcing the lineup with offensive threats remains a priority.

Evaluating Player Retention and Movement:

Determining which players are integral to the team’s future and which ones should be part ways with is crucial. Several players, including Joonas Korpisalo and Dominik Kubalik, have underperformed, highlighting the need for strategic roster adjustments.

Building around key players like Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle, and Jake Sanderson is paramount. While veteran presence like Claude Giroux adds value, identifying core players and making necessary changes is essential for long-term success.

Conversely, there’s Jakob Chychrun, who appears to be leaning towards leaving the team.

Amidst speculation about potential trades, Thomas Chabot’s uncertain status prompts deliberation. While there’s merit to considering offers, his importance to the team cannot be overlooked. Chabot’s recent remarks suggest a commitment to the team, emphasizing his potential role in its future. Balancing trade opportunities with long-term stability is crucial in determining his fate.

In summary, addressing goaltending woes, securing effective coaching, reinforcing offensive depth, and making strategic roster decisions are vital for the Ottawa Senators’ progress in the upcoming seasons.

While I don’t necessarily advocate for trading Chychrun, he does stand out as their most valuable asset for potential changes. Additionally, there’s Josh Norris, whose situation evokes sympathy considering his history of three shoulder surgeries and the uncertainty surrounding his long-term reliability, especially with six years remaining on his contract. While trading him could be an option, it shouldn’t be solely for salary reasons.

Staios faces a challenging offseason ahead, and I believe some adjustments to the team’s composition are necessary to propel them forward.

A Stable Front Office

Regarding the front office stability, Staios’ composed demeanor and adeptness at diplomatic language instill confidence. His discretion and focus on patience and strategic team-building indicate a steady hand at the helm. While there’s always the possibility of misjudgment, the front office’s expansion and Andlauer’s proactive involvement bode well for the organization’s future. Rebuilding credibility may take time, but the Senators’ front office has a prime opportunity to establish itself as a reliable and resilient entity. This offseason will serve as its inaugural trial by fire.

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